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Qual 642012 Las Vegas Regional
Red19
24969.7
43451.8
300915.1
Blue38
10118.3
166112.7
182810.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242701020304050601938

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3009
#16
15.10.4
14.1→13.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.3
1661
#2
12.70.6
10.6→11.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2496
#11
9.70.3
8.7→8.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.7
1828
#5
10.40.6
9.4→9.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4345
#15
1.80.3
1.8→1.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.5
1011
#17
8.30.6
6.8→7.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—