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Red19
25204.4
248514.8
28445.5
Blue34
182810.4
8778.3
43185.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19210103040501934

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.80.0
12.812.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
10.40.6
9.910.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2844
#30
5.50.0
2.32.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
877
#13
8.30.6
7.37.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2520
#21
4.40.0
4.54.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
5.50.8
4.24.9
Auto
Teleop
End