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Red43
166112.7
298414.3
26376.8
Blue59
318711.2
203413.7
248514.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33361020405060704359

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2984
#12
14.30.2
14.114.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
14.80.4
13.614.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
12.70.2
12.612.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
2034
#23
13.70.5
12.112.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2637
#32
6.80.2
6.76.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
11.20.4
10.010.4
Auto
Teleop
End