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Red48
19516.2
36914.1
3335.6
Blue61
12512.7
163515.1
52210.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313210204050604861

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#21
16.20.4
14.715.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
15.10.7
13.113.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
369
#5
14.10.4
12.613.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
125
#17
12.70.7
10.711.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
333
#14
5.60.4
4.14.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
522
#35
10.70.7
8.79.4
Auto
Teleop
End