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Red38
123014.1
216816.3
3335.6
Blue8
201615.9
41084.1
43831.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1222020304050388

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.32.0
6.08.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2016
#24
15.90.7
17.116.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
14.12.0
5.37.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
4108
#22
4.12.6
4.11.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
333
#14
5.62.0
2.84.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
4383
#62
1.20.2
1.21.5
Auto
Teleop
End