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Red25
201615.9
7592.3
3296.8
Blue20
22349.5
13825.7
11555.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2616010203040502520

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#24
15.90.1
16.616.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
2234
#41
9.50.2
7.07.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
329
#13
6.80.2
7.37.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1382
#26
5.70.4
4.34.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
759
#37
2.30.2
3.53.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
1155
#12
5.70.3
4.04.3
Auto
Teleop
End