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Red38
30042.8
163515.1
8469.5
Blue26
16605.8
341911.2
2717.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132201030403826

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.12.0
5.47.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
3419
#45
11.20.3
11.111.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
846
#15
9.52.0
8.010.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
271
#42
7.50.5
3.94.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3004
#59
2.82.0
0.12.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
1660
#25
5.80.5
5.45.9
Auto
Teleop
End