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Red36
201615.9
3348.4
29335.0
Blue47
127911.3
3715.7
3546.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21150103040503647

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#24
15.90.7
16.517.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
11.31.7
7.28.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
334
#39
8.41.2
3.95.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
354
#33
6.42.8
3.46.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2933
#43
5.01.2
0.72.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
371
#30
5.72.8
3.26.0
Auto
Teleop
End