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Red22
40942.1
123014.1
2717.5
Blue13
301710.1
7592.3
39273.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1612010203040502213

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.10.5
9.710.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
3017
#16
10.10.0
8.88.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
271
#42
7.50.5
4.34.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
3927
#38
3.50.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4094
#61
2.10.5
1.52.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
759
#37
2.30.0
2.82.9
Auto
Teleop
End