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Red22
201615.9
39510.7
41912.1
Blue16
36453.1
8469.5
13404.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31150102040502216

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#24
15.90.5
16.816.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
846
#15
9.50.0
9.09.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
395
#20
10.70.8
12.111.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
1340
#46
4.20.0
5.15.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4191
#36
2.10.8
2.82.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
3645
#23
3.10.0
2.32.2
Auto
Teleop
End