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Red63
52210.7
163515.1
12512.7
Blue59
179612.1
127911.3
301710.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2730010204050606359

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.10.8
11.612.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
12.10.7
11.011.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
125
#17
12.70.8
9.210.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
11.30.5
10.611.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
522
#35
10.70.8
7.28.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
3017
#16
10.10.7
9.09.7
Auto
Teleop
End