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Red58
52210.7
12512.7
163515.1
Blue50
127911.3
179612.1
301710.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303201020405060705850

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.10.7
12.413.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
12.10.4
11.612.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
125
#17
12.70.7
10.010.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
11.30.3
11.011.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
522
#35
10.70.7
8.18.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
3017
#16
10.10.4
9.710.1
Auto
Teleop
End