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Red41
4704.2
10258.8
362010.3
Blue12
35484.5
31755.1
35702.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221301030404112

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#12
10.30.3
9.910.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
3175
#26
5.10.0
5.45.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
8.80.3
8.58.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
4.50.0
4.84.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
470
#14
4.20.3
3.94.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
3570
#30
2.90.0
3.23.2
Auto
Teleop
End