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Red14
35484.5
43841.8
362010.3
Blue9
35702.9
4704.2
5035.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1113051520253035149

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#12
10.30.3
6.06.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
503
#36
5.50.4
6.36.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4.50.3
2.42.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
470
#14
4.20.4
4.44.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4384
#38
1.80.3
2.12.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
3570
#30
2.90.4
2.92.5
Auto
Teleop
End