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Red20
35484.5
360110.2
12504.8
Blue0
19983.9
43902.3
11884.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16705102025303540200

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3601
#35
10.20.2
7.27.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
1188
#23
4.20.6
4.74.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1250
#20
4.80.3
5.25.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1998
#27
3.90.6
1.71.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4.50.3
4.14.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
4390
#32
2.30.6
0.80.2
Auto
Teleop
End