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Red8
26124.4
3414-0.3
5035.5
Blue10
31755.1
12504.8
35475.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151701020304050810

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#36
5.50.5
5.14.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3547
#21
5.40.7
7.36.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2612
#34
4.40.5
6.35.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
3175
#26
5.10.7
3.02.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3414
#31
-0.30.5
2.82.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
1250
#20
4.80.7
7.56.8
Auto
Teleop
End