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Red14
2887.7
4681.8
191820.0
Blue12
669.2
36190.3
24515.2
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27250102040501412

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#11
20.00.7
19.418.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
245
#10
15.20.7
15.114.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
288
#8
7.70.7
7.77.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
66
#16
9.20.7
9.18.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
468
#39
1.80.7
0.1-0.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
3619
#40
0.30.7
1.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End