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Red49
54826.7
33984.3
91011.5
Blue59
3318.1
18.8
21617.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35411020305060704959

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#3
26.70.7
23.123.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
33
#17
18.10.9
17.518.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
910
#25
11.50.7
8.28.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
216
#7
17.60.9
15.516.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3398
#37
4.30.7
3.64.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
1
#36
8.80.9
7.38.2
Auto
Teleop
End