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Red21
41429.1
18819.9
42691.7
Blue3
6778.0
41454.3
34968.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271102030405060213

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#9
19.90.2
18.017.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
677
#36
8.00.6
3.02.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4142
#15
9.10.4
5.24.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
3496
#13
8.00.6
6.05.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1.70.4
2.82.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
4145
#43
4.30.6
1.81.2
Auto
Teleop
End