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Red22
13084.5
41429.1
15902.3
Blue18
43853.4
32012.5
21726.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15100520253035402218

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4142
#15
9.10.6
8.59.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
2172
#37
6.80.4
6.26.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1308
#48
4.50.6
3.03.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
4385
#50
3.40.7
1.11.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1590
#49
2.30.6
3.64.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3201
#47
2.50.7
2.43.1
Auto
Teleop
End