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Red11
12707.7
12743.3
43853.4
Blue12
41193.6
23404.0
15611.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111803040501112

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1270
#19
7.70.0
4.44.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
156
#6
11.10.3
11.010.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4385
#50
3.40.0
3.53.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2340
#42
4.00.3
3.83.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1274
#57
3.30.0
3.33.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
4119
#45
3.60.5
3.42.9
Auto
Teleop
End