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Red18
12743.3
260311.5
13172.7
Blue21
21726.8
17873.1
2764.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1713010203040501821

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2603
#21
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
2172
#37
6.80.4
6.46.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1274
#57
3.30.0
3.33.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
276
#25
4.50.5
4.04.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1317
#33
2.70.0
2.72.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1787
#31
3.10.5
2.53.1
Auto
Teleop
End