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Red8
33245.8
127010.2
33018.8
Blue15
15295.9
53715.1
458.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1521010304050815

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1270
#18
10.20.3
9.08.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
537
#33
15.10.3
12.011.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3301
#49
8.80.6
4.33.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
45
#11
8.50.3
3.22.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3324
#46
5.80.4
1.61.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1529
#42
5.90.3
5.85.5
Auto
Teleop
End