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Red35
21972.4
14666.9
319319.1
Blue28
102413.7
35048.5
394016.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1323010203040503528

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.11.3
8.910.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
3940
#41
16.50.3
9.09.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1466
#37
6.91.6
2.43.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
13.70.3
8.78.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2197
#57
2.41.1
1.72.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
3504
#52
8.50.3
5.25.5
Auto
Teleop
End