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Red41
102413.7
152810.8
40088.7
Blue21
41155.2
55411.0
318610.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27250102030405060704121

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.70.7
11.111.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
554
#5
11.00.3
8.38.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1528
#25
10.80.7
8.89.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3186
#15
10.60.2
11.611.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4008
#14
8.70.7
7.07.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
4115
#45
5.20.3
5.14.8
Auto
Teleop
End