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Red30
40705.7
349412.6
7119.6
Blue18
17819.7
42751.8
10149.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362001030405060703018

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#16
19.60.3
18.318.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
1781
#28
9.70.1
8.88.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3494
#38
12.60.3
12.712.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
1014
#27
9.60.2
10.29.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4070
#29
5.70.3
5.04.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
4275
#56
1.80.2
2.01.7
Auto
Teleop
End