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Red20
29173.3
21972.4
37921.8
Blue40
458.5
313818.6
349212.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303601020405060702040

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#8
21.80.5
22.121.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
18.60.2
17.718.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2917
#32
3.30.8
4.84.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
3492
#17
12.10.2
12.112.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2197
#57
2.40.5
3.32.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
45
#11
8.50.2
5.55.8
Auto
Teleop
End