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Red22
14666.9
30002.5
55411.0
Blue17
42833.2
33245.8
17819.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20160103040502217

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
554
#5
11.00.2
10.010.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1781
#28
9.70.0
8.68.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1466
#37
6.90.1
6.46.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
3324
#46
5.80.0
5.15.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3000
#51
2.50.2
3.33.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
4283
#31
3.20.0
2.72.8
Auto
Teleop
End