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Red59
394016.5
458.5
78117.2
Blue58
349412.6
7119.6
102413.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37450102030506070805958

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#21
17.20.4
15.515.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
71
#16
19.60.2
19.419.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3940
#41
16.50.4
14.915.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
13.70.2
13.513.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
45
#11
8.50.4
6.87.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
3494
#38
12.60.2
12.412.6
Auto
Teleop
End