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Red9
34632.3
23882.8
17429.0
Blue21
27234.4
23725.9
31447.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118020304050607080921

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1742
#10
9.00.2
6.66.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
7.51.1
2.43.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2388
#30
2.80.2
2.52.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
2372
#34
5.91.1
3.14.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3463
#45
2.30.2
1.91.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
2723
#50
4.41.1
2.33.4
Auto
Teleop
End