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Red20
23981.8
350712.8
9325.8
Blue16
15619.8
23821.2
23419.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191704060801002016

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3507
#12
12.80.0
10.310.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
1561
#11
9.80.0
4.94.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
932
#26
5.80.0
5.65.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
2341
#29
9.60.0
9.39.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2398
#48
1.80.1
3.53.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2382
#42
1.20.0
2.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End