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Red26
216512.4
17429.0
31792.4
Blue23
23895.8
393710.8
23695.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15160510202530352623

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.40.8
7.98.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
3937
#40
10.80.4
9.39.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1742
#10
9.00.8
6.57.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
2389
#18
5.80.7
1.42.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3179
#17
2.40.8
2.12.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
2369
#27
5.70.7
4.24.9
Auto
Teleop
End