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Red10
24247.5
40054.6
31792.4
Blue21
34632.3
31695.8
23895.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161005202530351021

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2424
#15
7.50.4
8.17.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
2389
#18
5.80.8
3.44.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4005
#36
4.60.4
4.03.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
3169
#22
5.80.8
4.65.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3179
#17
2.40.4
3.22.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3463
#45
2.30.8
1.52.3
Auto
Teleop
End