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Red22
13349.2
10092.6
18351.7
Blue3
40153.1
14823.5
40222.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13905152025303540223

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9.20.5
7.98.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
1482
#36
3.50.6
4.43.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1009
#34
2.60.8
3.74.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
4015
#51
3.10.6
2.01.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1835
#28
1.70.8
1.22.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
4022
#38
2.20.6
3.22.7
Auto
Teleop
End