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Red15
41473.8
12213.6
77210.7
Blue2
43575.1
21856.8
13349.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15190103040152

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#27
10.70.0
10.710.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
9.20.8
8.37.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4147
#54
3.80.1
2.72.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
2185
#42
6.80.8
6.96.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1221
#25
3.60.0
2.42.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
4357
#10
5.11.4
3.82.4
Auto
Teleop
End