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Red26
10757.5
40153.1
238614.2
Blue12
201311.7
10531.3
42503.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22160102030402612

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2386
#15
14.20.2
14.114.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
2013
#18
11.70.2
11.311.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1075
#35
7.50.2
7.27.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
4250
#44
3.30.4
5.04.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4015
#51
3.10.2
1.61.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1053
#32
1.30.4
0.40.0
Auto
Teleop
End