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Red49
131015.2
43675.5
316120.4
Blue7
39496.5
35604.7
26259.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36240102030405060497

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.6
17.518.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
2625
#19
9.40.8
10.29.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
15.20.6
13.914.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
3949
#13
6.51.1
7.66.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4367
#17
5.50.9
4.65.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
3560
#20
4.71.1
5.84.7
Auto
Teleop
End