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Red11
18154.1
21858.8
26256.6
Blue58
433410.7
285215.5
42526.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213201040501158

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2185
#17
8.80.2
9.08.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
15.50.5
15.115.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
6.60.2
6.86.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
4334
#13
10.70.5
10.310.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4.10.2
4.34.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
4252
#19
6.80.6
6.36.9
Auto
Teleop
End