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Red33
21984.9
33872.1
111423.6
Blue9
26268.5
29946.7
14048.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19130103040339

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.61.2
14.816.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.1
2626
#12
8.50.3
4.94.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2198
#25
4.91.2
1.72.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
1404
#27
8.30.3
3.12.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3387
#10
2.11.2
2.43.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
2994
#32
6.70.3
4.44.1
Auto
Teleop
End