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Red30
90713.4
39880.4
285215.5
Blue22
21984.9
33867.2
15475.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18140102030403022

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.51.0
11.011.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
3386
#33
7.20.8
4.35.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
907
#11
13.41.0
5.86.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
1547
#23
5.50.5
5.25.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3988
#35
0.41.0
1.72.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
2198
#25
4.90.8
2.83.6
Auto
Teleop
End