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Red18
29946.7
124110.9
21858.8
Blue10
21984.9
12199.8
13250.9
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24160102030401810

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.90.5
9.28.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1219
#21
9.80.4
8.58.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2185
#17
8.80.4
7.26.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
2198
#25
4.90.4
4.64.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2994
#32
6.70.4
7.06.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
1325
#34
0.90.4
2.11.7
Auto
Teleop
End