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Red6
36013.1
37119.5
9567.8
Blue68
204612.6
24438.8
198322.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284101020506070668

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#27
13.10.5
12.311.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
22.20.6
21.622.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
9.50.5
8.88.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
2046
#38
12.60.6
12.012.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
956
#40
7.80.5
7.16.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
2443
#30
8.80.6
8.18.7
Auto
Teleop
End