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Red0
34722.4
40513.2
24113.3
Blue16
247112.1
24438.8
21307.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions915020304050016

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2411
#55
3.30.8
3.62.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.7
2471
#16
12.10.1
8.68.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4051
#33
3.21.3
3.21.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
2443
#30
8.80.1
3.13.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3472
#56
2.40.8
3.12.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
7.30.1
4.94.8
Auto
Teleop
End