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Red8
41273.1
31458.3
31925.9
Blue19
21307.3
8412.3
25218.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10100515202530819

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3145
#13
8.30.2
5.15.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2521
#23
8.80.7
2.43.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3192
#50
5.90.2
2.92.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
7.30.7
4.85.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4127
#59
3.10.2
2.11.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
841
#46
2.30.7
3.03.7
Auto
Teleop
End