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Red40
39952.2
198322.2
31458.3
Blue21
40513.2
32105.1
38125.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1690520253035404021

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.21.8
10.912.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.7
5.51.0
2.73.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3145
#13
8.31.8
5.06.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
3210
#26
5.11.0
4.25.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3995
#21
2.21.8
2.64.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
4051
#33
3.21.0
2.23.2
Auto
Teleop
End