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Red16
41273.1
7536.7
38125.5
Blue4
24113.3
26056.5
13594.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1390515202530164

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
753
#18
6.70.4
5.76.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2605
#54
6.50.5
4.94.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5.50.4
3.74.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1359
#43
4.00.5
3.22.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4127
#59
3.10.4
2.22.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2411
#55
3.30.5
2.01.5
Auto
Teleop
End