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Red6
41090.6
31314.7
31925.9
Blue17
24438.8
26056.5
36744.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13120510152025617

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3192
#50
5.90.5
6.66.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
2443
#30
8.80.3
1.51.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3131
#53
4.70.5
4.13.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
2605
#54
6.50.3
4.44.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4109
#62
0.60.5
1.40.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
3674
#61
4.60.3
7.17.4
Auto
Teleop
End