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Red10
28984.7
8473.5
15953.3
Blue15
38416.9
15107.4
31458.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14210510253035401015

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2898
#31
4.70.3
5.75.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
3145
#13
8.30.6
8.57.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
847
#20
3.50.3
5.65.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
7.40.6
6.96.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1595
#36
3.30.3
2.01.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
3841
#42
6.90.6
6.66.0
Auto
Teleop
End