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Red16
40575.9
41273.1
29905.4
Blue11
9567.8
31314.7
36731.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1810051520253035401611

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4057
#11
5.90.2
7.87.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
956
#40
7.80.0
5.65.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2990
#37
5.40.2
7.16.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
3131
#53
4.70.0
5.25.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4127
#59
3.10.2
3.83.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
3673
#58
1.50.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End