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Red33
218017.8
272911.2
392913.5
Blue38
22219.6
363710.6
397413.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343701020305060703338

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2180
#16
17.80.0
15.115.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
222
#15
19.60.0
18.018.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3929
#38
13.50.0
9.69.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
13.70.0
12.212.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2729
#18
11.20.0
9.29.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
3637
#32
10.60.0
6.97.0
Auto
Teleop
End